Monday, May 27, 2024

Tag: Economic Outlook

Data Show Positive Economic Trends; Housing, Labor Supply Shortfalls Continue

Despite the Narratives, California Is Doing OK The U.S. economy entered 2024 at a good pace. Consumer spending continues to hum along, inflation has cooled,...

Consumer Spending, Labor Market Cool; Inflation Pattern Seems Similar to 1970s

Comparing the path of inflation during the 1970s and today, the numbers differ, but a similar pattern emerges. In both periods, inflationary pressures began building early when interest rates were low in the 1960s and 2010s, respectively.

Strength, Resiliency in Some Sectors Offset by Small or Negative Gains in Others

S&P 500 Off to Strong Start Following a steep sell-off in the first half of 2022, the Standards & Poor 500 started 2023 with an...

Can Fed Bring Down Inflation Without Pushing Economy Into Deep Recession?

Rate Decisions Recent Bank Failures Pressure Markets and Fed on Rate Decisions One more rate hike and then pause? Leading economic indicators have turned deeply negative....

High Inflation, Interest Rate Hikes of 2022 Not Reflected Yet in 2023 Economic Data

Recapping a Challenging 2022 Markets faced several challenges in 2022, including high inflation, historic central bank policy, the war in Ukraine, and COVID lockdowns in...

Goods Inflation Declining, Services Rising; Federal, State Labor Markets Still Strong

Overview The pace of economic growth continues to moderate, primarily driven by a slower pace of consumption, which accounts for about two­-thirds of gross domestic...

Federal Reserve Fights Inflation, Walks Line Between Soft Landing, Recession

The Economy The Drumbeat of a Recession Is Growing Louder, But It Is Probably Not Here Yet We are sure in an odd place, economically speaking....

Economic Expansion Continues Steep Pace; Demand for Workers Exceeds Job Seekers

  Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product (GDP) took a surprising decline in the first quarter of 2022, falling 1.4%. It was brought down by the...

Economic Recovery, Job Growth Faster than Previous Recessions; Inflation Robust

This Time Is Different When conducting monetary policy, the Federal Reserve has two goals: keep inflation low and stable, and ensure maximum employment. For most of...

Economy’s Fundamentals Remain Firm; Household/Corporate Balance Sheets Solid

Overview Economic recoveries and expansions never go as planned. This one is no exception. It has been marred by two major COVID outbreaks, supply shortages,...