Economy
Can Fed Bring Down Inflation Without Pushing Economy Into Deep Recession?
Rate Decisions
Recent Bank Failures Pressure Markets and Fed on Rate Decisions
One more rate hike and then pause? Leading economic indicators have turned deeply negative....
Prudent Budget Proposal Keeps Key Commitments, No Tax Hikes
Governor Gavin Newsom released his revised budget on May 12, revealing a larger revenue shortfall, higher estimated safety net spending, but even so not...
High Inflation, Interest Rate Hikes of 2022 Not Reflected Yet in 2023 Economic Data
Recapping a Challenging 2022
Markets faced several challenges in 2022, including high inflation, historic central bank policy, the war in Ukraine, and COVID lockdowns in...
Don’t Treat California as a ‘Luxury Good’
The Golden State has enjoyed as much prosperity and created as much wealth as any society on the planet.
Its economic output rivals Germany and...
First 2023 Job Killer Sets Dangerous Precedent
Legislation creating a misguided policy that would exacerbate California’s affordability crisis was named by the California Chamber of Commerce this week as the first...
Governor’s Budget Plans for Uncertain Economy
Governor Gavin Newsom presented a balanced budget this week with no new general tax increases. He identified a $22.5 billion “shortfall” between previously expected...
Goods Inflation Declining, Services Rising; Federal, State Labor Markets Still Strong
Overview
The pace of economic growth continues to moderate, primarily driven by a slower pace of consumption, which accounts for about two-thirds of gross domestic...
Federal Reserve Fights Inflation, Walks Line Between Soft Landing, Recession
The Economy
The Drumbeat of a Recession Is Growing Louder, But It Is Probably Not Here Yet
We are sure in an odd place, economically speaking....
Federal Inflation Reduction Bill: Review of Impact on California
Given its size and economic diversity, California will both enjoy and suffer some major effects of the Inflation Reduction Act — approved Saturday by...
Foreign Direct Investment in State, U.S. Rebounding After Dropping During COVID
International economies continued to be beset by the detrimental effects of the COVID-19 pandemic last year, reducing the amount of foreign direct investment in...