Uncertainty Hurts R&D Investment That’s Key to State Competitiveness

California’s innovation-based economy pays economic dividends not only in our traditional technology hubs, but in every region of the state and in a wide variety of jobs. Key to the state’s competitive advantage in innovation is a robust and historically stable tax incentive known as the research and development (R&D) tax credit.

A year ago, state leaders anticipated a deep, pandemic-induced recession that would erode state revenues. Among other budget-saving actions, lawmakers limited the use of tax credits, including the R&D credit, to a maximum of $5 million a year per company. This action disrupted many firms’ financial planning in the short term.

With recovery driven by technology and business services, and a massive, unexpected boost in state revenues, the Legislature should be revisiting its earlier decision to suspend tax credits. With this in mind, the California Chamber of Commerce teamed with the Milken Institute to assess the economic and workforce effects of R&D-related private investments.

Long-Term Outlook

One of their key findings is that R&D policy requires a long-term outlook. Companies favor a more predictable policy environment; changes to the tax credit in 2020 were approved during a period of significant uncertainty, and the changes themselves created even more uncertainty.

Research spending relies on longer-term planning, so any activities relocated outside California may take longer to return (if they return at all).

Other Findings

Milken Institute researchers also found:

• California’s level of industry R&D spending is No. 1 nationwide by a wide margin.

• Evidence that incentives have been a key component of supporting business research and development.

• R&D spending has supported high-tech business formation and high-wage job creation, such as Silicon Valley, but the state also has substantial assets in non-tech sectors such as life sciences, transportation, entertainment, design and machinery.

• The concentration of jobs reliant on or connected to R&D in California for these industries outpaces the nation.

• Innovation-connected jobs appear throughout California. For example, a high concentration of engineering in Bakersfield, computers and math in the Inland Empire, design and media in Los Angeles, and life sciences in San Diego.

• Many R&D-supported occupations are among the fastest-growing job categories in the California, and support higher wages among these fast-growing jobs

• Spending also has generated job creation in occupations that require fewer credentials as well as in non-tech-intensive industries.

More Information

A summary of the Milken Institute’s research can be found here. A webinar co-hosted by CalChamber and the Milken Institute on this subject can be viewed at cfce.calchamber.com.

Loren Kaye is president of the California Foundation for Commerce and Education, a think tank affiliated with the California Chamber of Commerce.

Related Articles

Business Leaders Urge Newsom to Restore R&D Tax Credit

The California Chamber of Commerce and a coalition of business leaders are urging Governor Gavin Newsom to consider restoring California’s research and development (R&D) tax credit as he prepares for his January budget proposal. Along...

CalTax Files Suit Challenging State’s Retroactive Tax Increase

The California Taxpayers Association (CalTax) filed suit last month to challenge a retroactive tax increase, claiming it infringes on the rights of businesses operating in California. The lawsuit, filed on August 15 in Fresno County...

Governor Signs Bill to Relicense Diablo Canyon Power Plant

A California Chamber of Commerce-supported bill that provides the mechanism to relicense the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant and ensure a source of essential carbon-free electricity to California has been signed by the Governor. SB...